Sport Picks
Aberbargoed Buds vs Aberdare Town Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Division 1 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 2015/2016 game between Aberbargoed Buds and Aberdare Town finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberdare Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Aberdare Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Aberbargoed Buds taking it.
- Regular Division 1 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Aberdare Town have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aberbargoed Buds Clean Sheet 20%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberbargoed Buds | Aberdare Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.18 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Aberbargoed Buds
1:0
Mar 5, 2016 Division 1
Aberbargoed Buds vs Aberdare Town
2:2
Mar 29, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Aberbargoed Buds
2:1
Mar 19, 2014 Division 1
Aberbargoed Buds vs Aberdare Town
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberbargoed Buds 40 / 100
Aberdare Town 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberbargoed Buds Aberdare Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aberbargoed Buds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Aberbargoed Buds scored in 88% of their last 17 outings.
Aberdare Town let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Aberbargoed Buds remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aberbargoed Buds VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberbargoed Buds
(Home) 16 Sept
Risca United
4 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
07 Mar
Goytre AFC
2 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
08 Feb
Garden Village
0 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
01 Feb
Aberbargoed Buds
1 : 1 Pontardawe
25 Jan
Trefelin
4 : 2 Aberbargoed Buds
Page 1 of 4
01 Feb
Aberbargoed Buds
1 : 1 Pontardawe
23 Nov
Aberbargoed Buds
3 : 4 Goytre AFC
19 Oct
Aberbargoed Buds
3 : 1 Aberaeron
12 Oct
Aberbargoed Buds
1 : 4 Trefelin
07 Sept
Aberbargoed Buds
3 : 3 Monmouth
Page 1 of 2
Aberdare Town
(Away) 06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1 Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2 Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1 Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1 Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3 Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1 Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1 Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3 Aberdare Town
20 Apr
Monmouth
0 : 0 Aberdare Town
05 Mar
Aberbargoed Buds
2 : 2 Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Barry Town | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 62:33 | 58 |
| 3 | Goytre AFC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 72:36 | 56 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 59:43 | 50 |
| 5 | Cambrian United | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 6 | Taffs Well | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 57:51 | 47 |
| 7 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 45:47 | 43 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 53:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Ton Pentre | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 45:52 | 40 |
| 10 | Risca United | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 48:48 | 39 |
| 11 | Penybont | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 53:56 | 39 |
| 12 | Monmouth | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 56:60 | 39 |
| 13 | Briton Ferry | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 41:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Aberdare Town | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 34:56 | 37 |
| 15 | Aberbargoed Buds | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 42:63 | 27 |
| 16 | Garden Village | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 27:93 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)
