Sport Picks

Wales

Division 1

Caldicot

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aberbargoed Buds host Caldicot in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Aberbargoed Buds have averaged 1.87 scored and 2.27 conceded recently, against Caldicot's 1.56 scored and 1.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Aberbargoed Buds have won 0 to Caldicot's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 29, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 1.18) point toward Caldicot. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Aberbargoed Buds

20%

Draws

30%

Caldicot

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberbargoed Buds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Caldicot carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Aberbargoed Buds a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Aberbargoed Buds Clean Sheet 20%

Caldicot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberbargoed Buds	Caldicot
Matches Played	15	18
Wins	4	7
Draws	4	1
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.87	1.56
Goals Conceded	2.27	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.54	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2020 Division 1

Aberbargoed Buds vs Caldicot

0:0

Nov 16, 2019 Division 1

Caldicot vs Aberbargoed Buds

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberbargoed Buds 49 / 100

Caldicot 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberbargoed Buds Caldicot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberbargoed Buds Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberbargoed Buds's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Defensive concern: Caldicot conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

Solid form: Aberbargoed Buds remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Caldicot registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberbargoed Buds VS Caldicot

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History