Sport Picks

Aberbargoed Buds vs Ton Pentre Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales

Division 1

Ton Pentre

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aberbargoed Buds host Ton Pentre in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Aberbargoed Buds at 1.87 goals for, 2.27 against; Ton Pentre at 1.63 for, 2.42 against. Head-to-head, Aberbargoed Buds have won 2 to Ton Pentre's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 5, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.05, favoring Ton Pentre. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Aberbargoed Buds

20%

Draws

44%

Ton Pentre

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Ton Pentre lately — more wins on the board than Aberbargoed Buds.
Aberbargoed Buds are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Aberbargoed Buds Clean Sheet 20%

Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberbargoed Buds	Ton Pentre
Matches Played	15	19
Wins	4	7
Draws	4	2
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.87	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.27	2.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2020 Division 1

Aberbargoed Buds vs Ton Pentre

0:0

Apr 4, 2020 Division 1

Ton Pentre vs Aberbargoed Buds

0:0

Apr 27, 2016 Division 1

Aberbargoed Buds vs Ton Pentre

0:2

Oct 24, 2015 Division 1

Ton Pentre vs Aberbargoed Buds

1:3

Apr 26, 2014 Division 1

Ton Pentre vs Aberbargoed Buds

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberbargoed Buds 67 / 100

Ton Pentre 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberbargoed Buds Ton Pentre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberbargoed Buds Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberbargoed Buds scored in 93% of their last 15 games.

Defensive concern: Ton Pentre conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Aberbargoed Buds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberbargoed Buds VS Ton Pentre

0 Goals Scored 0

0 Goals Conceded 0

0% Over 1.5 0%

0% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History