Sport Picks

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Aberdeen B vs Peterhead

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen B play Peterhead in the Challenge Cup 2023/2024. Peterhead are favorites here. Recently, Aberdeen B averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.35 conceded. Peterhead averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Aberdeen B won 0, Peterhead won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 12, 2025 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Aberdeen B and 0.94 for Peterhead. This points to a Peterhead double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aberdeen B
15%
Draws
58%
Peterhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Aberdeen B picked up more points recently compared to Peterhead.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aberdeen B Clean Sheet 24%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen B Peterhead
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
Peterhead vs Aberdeen B
4:2
Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Peterhead vs Aberdeen B
4:0
Aug 15, 2023 Challenge Cup
Aberdeen B vs Peterhead
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen B Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marshall F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.1

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ross S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen B 29 / 100
Peterhead 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen B Peterhead

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterhead Win (2)
Secondary Pick Peterhead & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aberdeen B attacking → ← attacking Peterhead

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen B scored in 80% of their last 20 games.

Peterhead let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Aberdeen B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Peterhead lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 44
2.20 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75