Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs FK Daugava Riga

Europe Europe

Europa League 2014/2015 Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Robson B.
Penalty Missed
15'
Borovskij V.
16'
Zils V.

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen in this Europa League 2014/2015 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aberdeen
15%
Draws
0%
FK Daugava Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aberdeen lately — more wins on the board than FK Daugava Riga.
  • Model gives Aberdeen a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Aberdeen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 68%
FK Daugava Riga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen FK Daugava Riga
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.55 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2014 Europa League
FK Daugava Riga vs Aberdeen
0:3
Jul 3, 2014 Europa League
Aberdeen vs FK Daugava Riga
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Logan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGinn N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

FK Daugava Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 68 / 100
FK Daugava Riga 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen FK Daugava Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FK Daugava Riga's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aberdeen found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

FK Daugava Riga let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4
Aberdeen
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 7

FK Daugava Riga

(Away)
04 Apr
Jelgava
:
FK Daugava Riga
08 Nov
Skonto
4 : 1
FK Daugava Riga
01 Nov
FK Daugava Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
26 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
1 : 0
FK Daugava Riga
20 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
2 : 4
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FK Sarajevo -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haugesund 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atromitos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
B. Monchengladbach -
FC Astana 6
Pyunik Yerevan 1
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
Linfield 3
B36 Torshavn 2
TBD -
AIK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Asteras Tripolis -
TBD -
TBD -
RoPS Rovaniemi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mainz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shakhter Karagandy 6
Shirak Gyumri 1
Differdange 2
Atlantas 3
Dundalk 5
Jeunesse Esch 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Shkendija Tetovo 2
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Cukaricki 4
Sant Julia 0
TBD -
Grodig -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PAOK -
Omonia -
TBD -
Folgore 1
Buducnost 5
Zeljeznicar 1
Lovcen 0
UE Santa Coloma 0
Met. Skopje 5
Shmona -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Moscow -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siroki Brijeg 5
Gabala 0
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Liberec -
TBD -
TBD -
VSS Kosice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Astra -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Celik Niksic 0
Koper 9
Bursaspor -
TBD -
Turnovo 1
Chikhura Sachkhere 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
Elfsborg -
TBD -
FC Tiraspol 3
Shamakhi 6
Neman -
TBD -
Glenavon 2
Hafnarfjordur 6
IFK Goteborg 2
Fola 0
TBD -
Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Kardemir Karabuk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers 4
Banga 0
Jelgava 0
Rosenborg 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Grasshoppers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Brugge -
Rijeka -
TBD -
Sliema 2
Ferencvaros 3
Tromso 13
Santos Tartu 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Vikingur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Apollon Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotiv Moscow -
Young Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ermis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Spartak Trnava 9
Hibernians 2
TBD -
FC Zestaponi -
Luzern -
TBD -
TBD -
St Johnstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurich -
AEL Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
Din. Minsk -
TBD -
IF Fuglafjordur 0
MyPa 1
Jagodina -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Petrolul -
TBD -
Bolnisi 4
Flamurtari 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Rostov -
RNK Split 3
Mika 1
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ch. Odesa -
Brommapojkarna 3
VPS 2
Ekranas 2
Crusaders 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino -
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Lokeren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trencin -
TBD -
TBD -
Vojvodina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hull City -
Ruch Chorzow -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Vaduz 4
Kairat Almaty 1
Kukesi 0
TBD -
Esbjerg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metalist Kharkiv -
PSV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv 6
AC Libertas 0
TBD -
St. Polten -
Waregem -
TBD -
TBD -
Zawisza -
Derry City 9
Aberystwyth 0
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Stjarnan 8
Bangor City 0
TBD -
Motherwell -
Kalju 3
Fram 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
TBD -
TBD -
ND Gorica -
Laci 3
Rudar 2
TBD -
Zorya -
Real Sociedad -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga 0
Aberdeen 8
DVTK 6
Birkirkara 2
Veris Chisinau 0
FC Lovech 3
Sillamae Kalev 4
Honka 4
TBD -
Krasnodar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
FK Sarajevo 3
Haugesund 2
TBD -
Atromitos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
B. Monchengladbach -
FC Astana 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
Linfield 1
AIK 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Villarreal -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Asteras Tripolis 5
RoPS Rovaniemi 3
TBD -
Mainz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shakhter Karagandy 3
Atlantas 0
Dundalk 2
Hajduk Split 3
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Zimbru Chisinau 1
CSKA Sofia 1
Cukaricki 2
Grodig 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PAOK -
Omonia 2
Buducnost 0
Zeljeznicar 2
Met. Skopje 2
Shmona -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Moscow -
Lyon -
TBD -
Siroki Brijeg 1
Mlada Boleslav 6
Liberec 4
VSS Kosice 0
TBD -
FC Astra -
Neftci Baku 3
Koper 2
Bursaspor 0
Chikhura Sachkhere 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
Elfsborg 2
Shamakhi 1
Neman 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
IFK Goteborg 3
Gyor 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Kardemir Karabuk -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers 3
Rosenborg 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Grasshoppers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Brugge -
Rijeka 3
Ferencvaros 1
Tromso 1
Vikingur 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Apollon Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotiv Moscow -
Young Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Ermis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Spartak Trnava 3
FC Zestaponi 0
Luzern 2
St Johnstone 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurich -
AEL Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
Din. Minsk 3
MyPa 0
Jagodina 0
CFR Cluj 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Petrolul 5
Flamurtari 1
TBD -
Plzen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Rostov -
RNK Split 2
H. Beer Sheva 1
TBD -
Ch. Odesa -
Brommapojkarna 5
Crusaders 1
TBD -
Torino -
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Lokeren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trencin 4
Vojvodina 3
TBD -
Hull City -
Ruch Chorzow 3
Vaduz 2
Kairat Almaty 1
Esbjerg 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metalist Kharkiv -
PSV -
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv 2
St. Polten 3
Waregem 5
Zawisza 2
Derry City 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 6
Stjarnan 5
Motherwell 4
Kalju 1
Lech Poznan 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde 5
ND Gorica 2
Laci 1
Zorya 5
Real Sociedad -
TBD -
Groningen 1
Aberdeen 2
DVTK 3
FC Lovech 2
Sillamae Kalev 0
Krasnodar 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
FK Sarajevo 4
Atromitos 3
TBD -
B. Monchengladbach -
FC Astana 4
AIK 1
TBD -
Villarreal -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Asteras Tripolis 3
Mainz 2
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Dnipro -
TBD -
Shakhter Karagandy 4
Hajduk Split 5
Qarabag Agdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Grodig 2
TBD -
PAOK -
Omonia 4
Met. Skopje 0
Shmona 2
Dynamo Moscow 3
Lyon 6
Mlada Boleslav 2
Liberec 2
FC Astra 6
Neftci Baku 3
Chikhura Sachkhere 2
TBD -
Partizan -
Elfsborg 5
Hafnarfjordur 3
IFK Goteborg 0
Rio Ave 1
Kardemir Karabuk 1
Rosenborg 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
Panathinaikos -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Grasshoppers -
TBD -
Brondby 0
Club Brugge 5
Rijeka 9
Vikingur 1
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Apollon Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
Lokomotiv Moscow -
Young Boys 3
Ermis 0
TBD -
Debrecen -
Spartak Trnava 3
St Johnstone 2
TBD -
Zurich -
AEL Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
Din. Minsk 3
CFR Cluj 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Petrolul 5
Plzen 2
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Rostov -
RNK Split 2
Ch. Odesa 0
Brommapojkarna 0
Torino 7
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Lokeren -
TBD -
Trencin 1
Hull City 2
Ruch Chorzow 2
Esbjerg 2
TBD -
Metalist Kharkiv -
PSV 4
St. Polten 2
Waregem 4
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 7
Stjarnan 1
Lech Poznan 0
TBD -
Inter -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
Molde 2
Zorya 3
Real Sociedad 5
Aberdeen 2
DVTK 1
Krasnodar 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
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Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
FK Sarajevo 2
B. Monchengladbach 10
FC Astana 0
Villarreal 7
Zwolle 2
Sparta Prague 4
Asteras Tripolis 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
Dnipro 2
Hajduk Split 1
Qarabag Agdam 1
Twente 1
HJK 5
Rapid Vienna 4
Zimbru Chisinau 1
PAOK 4
Omonia 3
Dynamo Moscow 4
Lyon 2
FC Astra 2
Neftci Baku 3
Partizan 5
Elfsborg 2
Rio Ave 2
Kardemir Karabuk 1
St Etienne 2
Panathinaikos 6
Midtjylland 2
Grasshoppers 1
Club Brugge 3
Rijeka 4
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Apollon Limassol 5
Lokomotiv Moscow 2
Young Boys 3
Debrecen 1
Spartak Trnava 2
Zurich 4
AEL Limassol 1
Tottenham 5
Din. Minsk 5
Nacional 2
Petrolul 2
Din. Zagreb 5
Trabzonspor 2
FK Rostov 0
RNK Split 0
Torino 1
Aktobe 0
Legia 3
Lokeren 2
Hull City 2
Ruch Chorzow 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
PSV 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0
Stjarnan 0
Inter 9
Feyenoord 5
Zorya 4
Real Sociedad 1
Krasnodar 3
TBD -
TBD -