Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Kelty Hearts

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This one's hard to separate. Aberdeen have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 0.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Aberdeen. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Aberdeen

11%

Draws

Kelty Hearts

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Aberdeen lately — more wins on the board than Kelty Hearts.
Model gives Aberdeen a 80% chance of winning this.
Aberdeen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%

Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdeen	Kelty Hearts
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	11	7
Draws	4	8
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1.5	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 76 / 100

Kelty Hearts 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdeen Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Aberdeen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Aberdeen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kelty Hearts's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Kelty Hearts

1.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)

18 Jul

Aberdeen

2 : 1

Queen's Park

14 Jul

Brora Rangers

0 : 2

Aberdeen

11 Jul

Linfield

0 : 2

Aberdeen

07 Jul

Aberdeen

3 : 6

Ross County

04 Jul

Twente

1 : 0

Aberdeen

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Kelty Hearts

(Away)

14 Jul

Kelty Hearts

0 : 2

Queen's Park

11 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 2

Kelty Hearts

04 Jul

Kelty Hearts

0 : 3

Dunfermline

27 Jun

East Kilbride

4 : 0

Kelty Hearts

20 Jun

Gala Fairydean Rovers

2 : 1

Kelty Hearts

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