Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen

3 - 0

Kelty Hearts

Our Tip

Match Events

Nisbet K.

(Penalty)

27'

Kjartansson K.

46'

Sub

Smith L. In: Yogane T.

Out: Smith L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Aberdeen

20%

Draws

34%

Kelty Hearts

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Aberdeen lately — more wins on the board than Kelty Hearts.
Model gives Aberdeen a 46% chance of winning this.
Aberdeen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 68%

Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdeen	Kelty Hearts
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	13	10
Draws	4	2
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.41	1.41
Goals Conceded	1.31	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup

Aberdeen vs Kelty Hearts

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Olusanya T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Kelty Hearts Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 86 / 100

Kelty Hearts 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdeen Kelty Hearts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

Aberdeen's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aberdeen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Kelty Hearts

1.25 Goals Scored 2

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)

19 Sept

Hibernian

1 : 1

Aberdeen

15 Sept

Motherwell

0 : 4

Aberdeen

12 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 2

Aberdeen

05 Sept

Aberdeen

0 : 0

Kilmarnock

02 Sept

Celtic

3 : 0

Aberdeen

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Kelty Hearts

(Away)

22 Sept

Kelty Hearts

3 : 5

Hearts B

19 Sept

Kelty Hearts

1 : 3

Edinburgh City

12 Sept

Clyde

4 : 1

Kelty Hearts

08 Sept

Cumbernauld Colts

0 : 3

Kelty Hearts

05 Sept

Kelty Hearts

2 : 1

Annan

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