Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Cadden Ch.
38'
Tshibola A.
43'
Lowery T.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aberdeen
20%
Draws
40%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kilmarnock come out ahead of Aberdeen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aberdeen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Cup
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
1:2
Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 49 / 100
Kilmarnock 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Kilmarnock let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Kilmarnock has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Kilmarnock
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
15 Aug
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Dundee FC
08 Aug
Dundee FC
2 : 0
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock

(Away)
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)