Sport Picks

Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen

1 - 0

Kilmarnock

Our Tip

Match Events

Aremu A.

Assist: Armstrong S.

Sub

Brandon J. In: Thompson D.

Out: Brandon J.

58'

Sub

Frame M. In: Shinnie G.

Out: Frame M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aberdeen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Aberdeen

44%

Draws

20%

Kilmarnock

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Kilmarnock have won more games recently than Aberdeen.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Aberdeen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aberdeen	Kilmarnock
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	12	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.5	2.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premiership

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

1:0

Jan 31, 2026 Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

3:0

Dec 14, 2025 Premiership

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

2:1

Oct 29, 2025 Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

0:1

Feb 22, 2025 Premiership

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Aremu A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Kilmarnock Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 34 / 100

Kilmarnock 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aberdeen Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Kilmarnock let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Aberdeen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Kilmarnock

1.5 Goals Scored 2.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)

22 Jul

Queen of the South

1 : 4

Aberdeen

18 Jul

Aberdeen

2 : 1

Queen's Park

14 Jul

Brora Rangers

0 : 2

Aberdeen

11 Jul

Linfield

0 : 2

Aberdeen

07 Jul

Aberdeen

3 : 6

Ross County

Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock

(Away)

21 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Hamilton

18 Jul

Elgin City

0 : 1

Kilmarnock

14 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Raith

04 Jul

Linfield

2 : 3

Kilmarnock

01 Jul

Glentoran

0 : 4

Kilmarnock

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Dundee Utd	38	10	15	13	49:60	45
8	Dundee FC	38	11	9	18	42:61	42
9	Aberdeen	38	11	7	20	40:55	40
10	Kilmarnock	38	10	10	18	50:68	40
11	St. Mirren	38	8	10	20	30:55	34
12	Livingston	38	2	15	21	40:75	21

Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)

Relegation - Championship (Main)