Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Aberdeen Logo

Aberdeen

1 - 0
FT
Kilmarnock Logo

Kilmarnock

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Aremu A.
Assist: Armstrong S.
5'
Sub
Brandon J. In: Thompson D.
Out: Brandon J.
58'
Sub
Frame M. In: Shinnie G.
Out: Frame M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aberdeen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aberdeen
20%
Draws
40%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kilmarnock have won more games recently than Aberdeen.
  • Model gives Aberdeen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 68%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Kilmarnock
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Cup
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
1:2
Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Aremu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kilmarnock Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 59 / 100
Kilmarnock 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Kilmarnock let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Kilmarnock lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Kilmarnock
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
15 Aug
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Dundee FC
08 Aug
Dundee FC
2 : 0
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 7

Kilmarnock

(Away)
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
09 Aug
Kilmarnock
1 : 5
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)