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Aberdeen vs Queen's Park

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Happe D.
Assist: Ronan C.
11' Event
Smith L.
Assist: Nisbet K.
61' Event
Hamilton J.
Assist: Longridge L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aberdeen
20%
Draws
40%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdeen average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Queen's Park's 1.17.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aberdeen taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aberdeen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Queen's Park
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Scottish Cup
Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
4:1
Aug 17, 2024 League Cup
Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
1:0
Aug 22, 2006 League Cup
Queen's Park vs Aberdeen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Happe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Queen's Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamilton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 49 / 100
Queen's Park 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Queen's Park's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Queen's Park has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Queen's Park
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
15 Aug
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Dundee FC
08 Aug
Dundee FC
2 : 0
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

Queen's Park

(Away)
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
22 Aug
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Stenhousemuir
08 Aug
Queen's Park
1 : 2
Raith
01 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Queen's Park
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams