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Aberdeen vs Queen's Park

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Happe D.
Assist: Ronan C.
11' Event
Smith L.
Assist: Nisbet K.
61' Event
Hamilton J.
Assist: Longridge L.

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen in this League Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aberdeen
44%
Draws
20%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Queen's Park have won more games recently than Aberdeen.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Queen's Park arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aberdeen, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aberdeen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 11%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Queen's Park
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup
Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Scottish Cup
Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
4:1
Aug 17, 2024 League Cup
Aberdeen vs Queen's Park
1:0
Aug 22, 2006 League Cup
Queen's Park vs Aberdeen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberdeen Compare

Top Goalscorer Happe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Queen's Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamilton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 35 / 100
Queen's Park 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Queen's Park's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aberdeen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS Queen's Park
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
18 Jul
Aberdeen
2 : 1
Queen's Park
14 Jul
Brora Rangers
0 : 2
Aberdeen
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
07 Jul
Aberdeen
3 : 6
Ross County
04 Jul
Twente
1 : 0
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

Queen's Park

(Away)
18 Jul
Aberdeen
2 : 1
Queen's Park
14 Jul
Kelty Hearts
0 : 2
Queen's Park
11 Jul
Queen's Park
3 : 1
Brora Rangers
30 Jun
Clyde
1 : 3
Queen's Park
27 Jun
Annan
0 : 0
Queen's Park
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queen's Park32016:36
2Aberdeen22004:16
3Queen of the South21014:14
4Kelty Hearts21011:32
5Brora Rangers30031:80
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd32014:16
2Montrose22003:06
3Stirling31023:43
4Arbroath21012:43
5Spartans20022:50
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren22008:06
2East Kilbride320110:66
3Dunfermline21014:43
4Cove Rangers21013:63
5Dumbarton30034:130
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee FC22009:26
2Ross County22007:26
3Airdrieonians31025:53
4Clyde21012:33
5Annan30031:120
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick330011:18
2Stenhousemuir22004:16
3Livingston21013:14
4Forfar Athletic20020:60
5Brechin30031:100
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St Johnstone22005:06
2Inverness22003:15
3East Fife21013:14
4Linlithgow Rose31021:43
5Morton30030:60
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ayr33006:29
2Falkirk21015:13
3Edinburgh City31022:73
4Alloa21012:42
5Stranraer20024:51
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Raith31024:25
2Hamilton22002:15
3Kilmarnock22001:05
4Peterhead21013:23
5Elgin City30032:70
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams