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Aberdeen vs Ross County

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen play Ross County in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aberdeen averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Ross County averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Aberdeen won 2, Ross County won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 7, 2026 ended 3:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Aberdeen and 2.06 for Ross County. This points to a Ross County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aberdeen
16%
Draws
49%
Ross County
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Aberdeen picked up more points recently compared to Ross County.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 10%
Ross County Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen Ross County
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Aberdeen vs Ross County
3:6
Apr 5, 2025 Premiership
Ross County vs Aberdeen
0:1
Jan 2, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs Ross County
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Premiership
Ross County vs Aberdeen
0:1
May 19, 2024 Premiership
Ross County vs Aberdeen
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 34 / 100
Ross County 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen Ross County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ross County or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aberdeen attacking → ← attacking Ross County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Ross County let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Aberdeen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ross County lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 37
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13