Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Santo Domingo play Independiente del Valle in the Copa Ecuador. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Santo Domingo averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Independiente del Valle averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Santo Domingo won 2, Independiente del Valle won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Dep. Santo Domingo and 1.31 for Independiente del Valle. This points to a Independiente del Valle double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dep. Santo Domingo
33%
Draws
40%
Independiente del Valle
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente del Valle has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dep. Santo Domingo.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Independiente del Valle.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Ecuador increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 18%
Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Santo Domingo Independiente del Valle
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 10 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle
2-2
Apr 12, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Santo Domingo
3-0
Mar 12, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Independiente del Valle vs Dep. Santo Domingo
3-1
Jan 12, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente del Valle
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 28 / 100
Independiente del Valle 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Santo Domingo Independiente del Valle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Santo Domingo scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

Independiente del Valle let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Dep. Santo Domingo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Independiente del Valle lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS Independiente del Valle
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito-
TBD-
Africando1
Independiente Juniors2
Leones del Norte-
TBD-
Huaquillas FC1
Rio Aguarico0
Aucas-
TBD-
Guaranda0
San Antonio1
Dep. Cuenca-
TBD-
La Union1
Cumbaya0
Emelec-
TBD-
U.D. Juvenil0
Daquilema2
Guayaquil City-
TBD-
Astillero2
22 de Julio1
U. Catolica-
TBD-
Dunamis1
EL Nacional5
Orense-
TBD-
Domingo TSA1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle-
TBD-
Primero de Mayo0
Dep. Santo Domingo2
Manta-
TBD-
Nazareno0
Nueve de Octubre4
Mushuc Runa-
TBD-
Dep. Quito0
Gualaceo1
Macara-
TBD-
Quito2
CD Cuenca Juniors3
Barcelona SC-
TBD-
Insutec4
Club Deportivo Ibarra3
Libertad-
TBD-
Ind. Azogues0
LDU Portoviejo5
Delfin-
TBD-
Banos2
Anaconda1
Tecnico U.-
TBD-
Juventud Italiana2
Atletico FC1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito-
Independiente Juniors-
Leones del Norte1
Huaquillas FC0
Aucas3
San Antonio0
Dep. Cuenca0
La Union1
Emelec0
Daquilema1
Guayaquil City1
Astillero2
U. Catolica4
EL Nacional1
Orense1
Vinotinto2
Independiente del Valle-
Dep. Santo Domingo-
Manta1
Nueve de Octubre0
Mushuc Runa0
Gualaceo1
Macara1
CD Cuenca Juniors0
Barcelona SC4
Insutec2
Libertad1
LDU Portoviejo2
Delfin2
Banos0
Tecnico U.0
Juventud Italiana2
1/8-finals
TBD-
Leones del Norte-
Aucas-
La Union-
Daquilema-
Astillero-
U. Catolica-
Vinotinto-
TBD-
Manta-
Gualaceo-
Macara-
Barcelona SC-
LDU Portoviejo-
Delfin-
Juventud Italiana-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-