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Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed, Austin, TX
Austin FC II Logo

Austin FC II

2 - 3
FT
Minnesota United 2 Logo

Minnesota United 2

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Dieng M.
Assist: Friedman J.
34' Event
Alastuey J.
45' Event
Alastuey J.
Assist: Cayelli P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Austin FC II and Minnesota United 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minnesota United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Austin FC II
15%
Draws
21%
Minnesota United 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Austin FC II come out ahead of Minnesota United 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Austin FC II's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 14%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC II Minnesota United 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.89 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2
2:3
Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Austin FC II
1:3
Mar 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2
2:4
Sep 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs Austin FC II
1:0
May 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Alastuey J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hille L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 66 / 100
Minnesota United 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC II Minnesota United 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin FC II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Minnesota United 2 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Austin FC II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS Minnesota United 2
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC II

(Home)
10 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
03 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Austin FC II
26 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
23 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 4
Austin FC II
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

Minnesota United 2

(Away)
09 Aug
Minnesota United 2
1 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
01 Aug
Minnesota United 2
1 : 2
Portland Timbers 2
20 Jul
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 0
Minnesota United 2
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3
Minnesota United 2
05 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
4 : 0
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New England Revolution II 21 14 0 7 34:24 42
2 Columbus Crew 2 21 14 0 7 37:33 39
3 New York Red Bulls II 23 12 0 11 45:38 38
4 CT United FC 21 12 0 9 40:37 34
5 New York City II 20 11 0 9 33:30 33
6 Toronto FC II 22 10 0 12 37:42 30
7 Philadelphia Union II 22 10 0 12 24:29 30
8 FC Cincinnati 2 21 6 0 15 22:45 16
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 22 17 0 5 54:30 48
2 Chattanooga 23 15 0 8 43:32 44
3 Orlando City B 22 12 0 10 42:41 35
4 Atlanta United 2 22 10 0 12 45:36 34
5 Chicago Fire II 21 11 0 10 43:34 33
6 Huntsville City 22 9 0 13 35:42 29
7 Carolina Core 23 8 0 15 32:40 26
8 Inter Miami II 20 2 0 18 16:49 8
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 22 15 0 7 28:24 45
2 Ventura County 22 14 0 8 45:28 41
3 Los Angeles FC 2 21 11 0 10 33:32 35
4 Tacoma Defiance 22 11 0 11 30:32 33
5 San Jose Earthquakes II 20 10 0 10 39:25 31
6 Real Monarchs 22 10 0 12 31:42 26
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 22 7 0 15 28:49 19
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 21 16 0 5 43:18 49
2 Houston Dynamo 2 21 16 0 5 45:21 45
3 St. Louis City 2 22 12 0 10 34:33 35
4 Minnesota United 2 22 10 0 12 30:35 30
5 North Texas 20 9 0 11 33:30 29
6 Sporting Kansas City II 21 6 0 15 27:53 19
7 Colorado Rapids 2 22 3 0 19 18:42 13
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 22 17 0 5 54:30 48
2 Chattanooga 23 15 0 8 43:32 44
3 New England Revolution II 21 14 0 7 34:24 42
4 Columbus Crew 2 21 14 0 7 37:33 39
5 New York Red Bulls II 23 12 0 11 45:38 38
6 Orlando City B 22 12 0 10 42:41 35
7 Atlanta United 2 22 10 0 12 45:36 34
8 CT United FC 21 12 0 9 40:37 34
9 New York City II 20 11 0 9 33:30 33
10 Chicago Fire II 21 11 0 10 43:34 33
11 Toronto FC II 22 10 0 12 37:42 30
12 Philadelphia Union II 22 10 0 12 24:29 30
13 Huntsville City 22 9 0 13 35:42 29
14 Carolina Core 23 8 0 15 32:40 26
15 FC Cincinnati 2 21 6 0 15 22:45 16
16 Inter Miami II 20 2 0 18 16:49 8
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 21 16 0 5 43:18 49
2 Houston Dynamo 2 21 16 0 5 45:21 45
3 Portland Timbers 2 22 15 0 7 28:24 45
4 Ventura County 22 14 0 8 45:28 41
5 St. Louis City 2 22 12 0 10 34:33 35
6 Los Angeles FC 2 21 11 0 10 33:32 35
7 Tacoma Defiance 22 11 0 11 30:32 33
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 20 10 0 10 39:25 31
9 Minnesota United 2 22 10 0 12 30:35 30
10 North Texas 20 9 0 11 33:30 29
11 Real Monarchs 22 10 0 12 31:42 26
12 Sporting Kansas City II 21 6 0 15 27:53 19
13 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 22 7 0 15 28:49 19
14 Colorado Rapids 2 22 3 0 19 18:42 13
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)