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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II host Minnesota United 2 in the MLS Next Pro. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Minnesota United 2 have shipped 1.88 goals a game lately, while Austin FC II have conceded 0.38 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor Minnesota United 2 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.06, favoring Austin FC II. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Austin FC II

Draws

Minnesota United 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Austin FC II demonstrates higher offensive output (2.63 avg goals) than Minnesota United 2 (1.75 avg goals).
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Austin FC II.
League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Austin FC II Clean Sheet 20%

Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Austin FC II	Minnesota United 2
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	18	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	2.63	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Austin FC II

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Mar 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

2:4

Sep 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Austin FC II

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

May 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Mar 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 85 / 100

Minnesota United 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Austin FC II Minnesota United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Minnesota United 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Austin FC II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Minnesota United 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS Minnesota United 2

2.63 Goals Scored 1.75

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9