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Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Carlos Sacaan, Ituzaingó
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Chavez B.
23'
Zagert E.
38'
Sotelo A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Ituzaingo and San Martin Burzaco finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Burzaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ituzaingo
20%
Draws
65%
San Martin Burzaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ituzaingo haven't matched San Martin Burzaco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Martin Burzaco a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 14%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituzaingo San Martin Burzaco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Ituzaingo
3:0
Oct 3, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco
3:1
May 15, 2021 Primera C
San Martin Burzaco vs Ituzaingo
3:0
Dec 13, 2020 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituzaingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Luppino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Funes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituzaingo 27 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituzaingo San Martin Burzaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Burzaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Burzaco has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ituzaingo scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Ituzaingo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituzaingo VS San Martin Burzaco
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituzaingo

(Home)
10 Oct
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Argentino de Quilmes
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
11 Sept
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

San Martin Burzaco

(Away)
10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)