Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Carlos Sacaan, Ituzaingó
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Chavez B.
23'
Zagert E.
38'
Sotelo A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Ituzaingo and San Martin Burzaco finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Burzaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ituzaingo
33%
Draws
40%
San Martin Burzaco
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ituzaingo haven't matched San Martin Burzaco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Martin Burzaco a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 21%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituzaingo San Martin Burzaco
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Ituzaingo
3:0
Oct 3, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco
3:1
May 15, 2021 Primera C
San Martin Burzaco vs Ituzaingo
3:0
Dec 13, 2020 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs San Martin Burzaco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituzaingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Luppino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Funes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituzaingo 29 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituzaingo San Martin Burzaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ituzaingo scored in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

San Martin Burzaco has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Ituzaingo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituzaingo VS San Martin Burzaco
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituzaingo

(Home)
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
10 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 0
Ituzaingo
04 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 3
Villa San Carlos
27 Jun
Deportivo Armenio
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
19 Jun
Ituzaingo
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
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San Martin Burzaco

(Away)
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
10 Jul
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
San Martin Burzaco
05 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
27 Jun
Real Pilar
0 : 0
San Martin Burzaco
20 Jun
UAI Urquiza
0 : 0
San Martin Burzaco
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)