Sport Picks
Macara vs Mushuc Runa
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista 
AI Match Summary
Macara host Mushuc Runa in the Liga Pro. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mushuc Runa have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Macara have conceded 1.25 and scored 0.63. Past meetings favor Mushuc Runa slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back Macara to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Macara carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Macara's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macara | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Macara scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Mushuc Runa let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Macara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 27 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Tecnico U. | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Macara | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Orense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 14 | Delfin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |