Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Reales Tamarindos, Portoviejo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Estupinan J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between LDU Portoviejo and Dep. Santo Domingo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
LDU Portoviejo
20%
Draws
42%
Dep. Santo Domingo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LDU Portoviejo come out ahead of Dep. Santo Domingo on wins alone.
  • LDU Portoviejo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors LDU Portoviejo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LDU Portoviejo Dep. Santo Domingo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
Jul 25, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Dep. Santo Domingo
1:0
May 5, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Estupinan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LDU Portoviejo 50 / 100
Dep. Santo Domingo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LDU Portoviejo Dep. Santo Domingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Portoviejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Portoviejo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: LDU Portoviejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Dep. Santo Domingo let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

LDU Portoviejo VS Dep. Santo Domingo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

LDU Portoviejo

(Home)
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
05 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 2
LDU Portoviejo
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Dep. Santo Domingo

(Away)
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
18 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
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