Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aberdeen host St. Mirren in the Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Aberdeen at 1.29 goals for, 1.32 against; St. Mirren at 1.38 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor St. Mirren slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.06) point toward St. Mirren. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aberdeen
20%
Draws
29%
St. Mirren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberdeen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Mirren's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Aberdeen have produced (1.29).
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aberdeen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Aberdeen Clean Sheet 20%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberdeen St. Mirren
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Premiership
Aberdeen vs St. Mirren
3:3
Oct 18, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
0:1
May 3, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Aberdeen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberdeen 40 / 100
St. Mirren 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberdeen St. Mirren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdeen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Mirren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aberdeen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberdeen VS St. Mirren
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberdeen

(Home)
12 Sept
Kilmarnock
1 : 2
Aberdeen
05 Sept
Aberdeen
0 : 0
Kilmarnock
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
30 Aug
Aberdeen
0 : 1
Rangers
15 Aug
Aberdeen
3 : 0
Dundee FC
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St. Mirren

(Away)
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
16 Aug
Rangers
5 : 1
St. Mirren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)