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Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fuerte San Francisco host Aguila in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Fuerte San Francisco at 0.78 goals for, 1.52 against; Aguila at 1.61 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Fuerte San Francisco have won 0 to Aguila's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (0.75 - 1.44) back Aguila to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fuerte San Francisco
30%
Draws
47%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguila come out ahead of Fuerte San Francisco on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Aguila taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 16%
Aguila Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuerte San Francisco Aguila
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.78 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
4:1
Apr 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa Presidente
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuerte San Francisco 23 / 100
Aguila 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuerte San Francisco Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Aguila has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Fuerte San Francisco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Fuerte San Francisco found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Fuerte San Francisco VS Aguila
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuerte San Francisco

(Home)
18 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
10 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
18 Oct
Atletico Balboa
2 : 2
Aguila
11 Oct
Aguila
3 : 0
Metapan
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 15 9 4 2 28:11 31
2 FAS 15 9 3 3 27:15 30
3 Metapan 15 9 2 4 23:17 29
4 Aguila 16 6 6 4 27:20 24
5 Inter Santa Tecla 16 5 8 3 22:16 23
6 Platense Municipal 16 6 4 6 22:22 22
7 Alianza FC 15 4 8 3 22:21 20
8 Municipal Limeno 16 6 2 8 23:23 20
9 Inca Aruba 16 4 4 8 13:29 16
10 Atletico Balboa 16 3 5 8 17:25 14
11 Cacahuatique 16 2 6 8 15:26 12
12 Fuerte San Francisco 16 2 6 8 13:27 12
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)