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Aberfan vs Briton Ferry

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Briton Ferry in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aberfan
39%
Draws
30%
Briton Ferry
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Briton Ferry have won more games recently than Aberfan.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Briton Ferry arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Briton Ferry, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Aberfan Clean Sheet 18%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberfan Briton Ferry
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 FA Cup
Aberfan vs Briton Ferry
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberfan 32 / 100
Briton Ferry 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberfan Briton Ferry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberfan's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Defensive concern: Briton Ferry conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Aberfan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Briton Ferry
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberfan

(Home)
14 Oct
Aberfan
0 : 3
Briton Ferry
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1
Pontyclun FC
08 Oct
Aberfan
1 : 5
Trefelin
17 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 0
Porthcawl Town

Briton Ferry

(Away)
14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Briton Ferry
10 Jul
Oxford City
4 : 0
Briton Ferry
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2
Briton Ferry
03 Apr
Briton Ferry
3 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
28 Mar
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch2
Chirk AAA FC4
Porthmadog3
Glantraeth FC0
Newport City0
Abergavenny Town2
Cardiff Airport3
Cefn Fforest1
Rhyl1
Menai Bridge Tigers2
Tregaron Turfs2
Llanuwchllyn10
Corwen0
Bow Street4
TBD-
Buckley-
Penparcau FC0
Cefn Albion1
Holyhead0
Bangor 18764
Cerrigydrudion2
Denbigh4
TBD-
Flint Town-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
St. Asaph1
Llandudno Junction0
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Cardiff Corries2
Caerau Ely3
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Llanidloes Town5
Builth4
Radnor Valley0
Gresford4
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontardawe-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
NFA0
Flint Mountain3
TBD-
Holywell Town FC-
Canton3
Sully Sports1
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Penydarren2
South Gower AFC3
Rockspur4
Afan United2
Chepstow Town7
Pill0
Abercarn United4
St Albans1
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Baglan Dragons5
Cwmaman Institute1
Goytre Utd1
Trefelin3
Ammanford Town1
Taffs Well0
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Aber Valley2
Cwmbran Town3
Mochdre Sports0
Nantlle Vale FC2
Mold Alexandra13
Montgomery1
Pwllheli1
Felinheli2
TBD-
Newtown-
Colwyn Bay-
TBD-
Llanrwst United2
Conwy Borough1
Barry Town-
TBD-
Treharris Athletic1
Porthcawl Town2
Brickfield Rangers3
Caersws FC1
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
Penycae FC1
Rhos Aelwyd4
Aberfan2
Pontyclun FC1
TBD-
Briton Ferry-
Llanelli-
TBD-
TBD-
Llantwit Major-
Cwmbran Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Mumbles Rangers1
Evans Williams2
Pontypridd United-
TBD-
Abertillery Bluebirds2
Caerphilly1
Ruthin Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Trethomas Bluebirds4
Ely Rangers1
Llantwit Fardre3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC1
Porthmadog2
Abergavenny Town1
Cardiff Airport3
Menai Bridge Tigers0
Llanuwchllyn2
Bow Street2
Buckley3
Cefn Albion1
Bangor 18767
Denbigh0
Flint Town3
Connahs Q.4
Caernarfon1
St. Asaph0
Prestatyn1
Caerau Ely4
Afan Lido0
Llanidloes Town1
Gresford3
Aberystwyth2
Pontardawe1
Bala3
Llandudno FC0
Flint Mountain3
Holywell Town FC1
Canton2
Cambrian United1
South Gower AFC1
Rockspur0
Chepstow Town4
Abercarn United0
Haverfordwest1
Baglan Dragons0
Trefelin2
Ammanford Town3
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Cwmbran Town0
Nantlle Vale FC2
Mold Alexandra3
Felinheli0
Newtown6
Colwyn Bay6
Llanrwst United2
Barry Town6
Porthcawl Town0
Brickfield Rangers2
Guilsfield7
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
Rhos Aelwyd0
Aberfan0
Briton Ferry3
Llanelli4
Llantwit Major0
Cwmbran Celtic0
Penybont3
Carmarthen Town2
Evans Williams0
Pontypridd United-
Abertillery Bluebirds-
Ruthin Town0
TNS5
Trethomas Bluebirds6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog5
Cardiff Airport1
Llanuwchllyn1
Buckley2
Bangor 18761
Flint Town2
Connahs Q.8
Prestatyn0
Caerau Ely4
Gresford3
Aberystwyth0
Bala1
Flint Mountain2
Canton1
South Gower AFC3
Chepstow Town2
Haverfordwest2
Ammanford Town0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Mold Alexandra1
Newtown1
Colwyn Bay2
Barry Town1
Guilsfield0
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Briton Ferry2
Llanelli4
Penybont3
Carmarthen Town4
Abertillery Bluebirds2
TNS7
Trethomas Bluebirds0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog0
Buckley2
Flint Town0
Connahs Q.3
Caerau Ely1
Bala4
Flint Mountain2
South Gower AFC1
Haverfordwest1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Colwyn Bay2
Barry Town0
Briton Ferry1
Llanelli0
Carmarthen Town0
TNS3
Quarter-finals
Buckley1
Connahs Q.4
Bala3
Flint Mountain0
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Colwyn Bay2
Briton Ferry1
TNS5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q.1
Bala0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
TNS6
Final
Connahs Q.2
TNS1