Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Aberfan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pontyclun FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Pontyclun FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aberfan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aberfan Clean Sheet 12%
Pontyclun FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberfan | Pontyclun FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 14 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup
Aberfan vs Pontyclun FC
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberfan 30 / 100
Pontyclun FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberfan Pontyclun FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pontyclun FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 14 matches.
Aberfan found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Pontyclun FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Aberfan VS Pontyclun FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberfan
(Home) 14 Oct
Aberfan
0 : 3 Briton Ferry
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
08 Oct
Aberfan
1 : 5 Trefelin
17 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 0 Porthcawl Town
14 Oct
Aberfan
0 : 3 Briton Ferry
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
08 Oct
Aberfan
1 : 5 Trefelin
17 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 0 Porthcawl Town
Pontyclun FC
(Away) 25 Oct
Blaenavon Blues
4 : 2 Pontyclun FC
20 Sept
Pontyclun FC
4 : 1 Tata Steel
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
14 Aug
Pontyclun FC
0 : 3 Pontardawe
10 Nov
Goytre Utd
1 : 0 Pontyclun FC
Page 1 of 3
25 Oct
Blaenavon Blues
4 : 2 Pontyclun FC
16 Sept
Aberfan
2 : 1 Pontyclun FC
10 Nov
Goytre Utd
1 : 0 Pontyclun FC
01 Oct
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Pontyclun FC
06 Oct
Goytre Utd
6 : 0 Pontyclun FC
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch2
Chirk AAA FC4
Porthmadog3
Glantraeth FC0
Newport City0
Abergavenny Town2
Cardiff Airport3
Cefn Fforest1
Rhyl1
Menai Bridge Tigers2
Tregaron Turfs2
Llanuwchllyn10
Corwen0
Bow Street4
TBD-
Buckley-
Penparcau FC0
Cefn Albion1
Holyhead0
Bangor 18764
Cerrigydrudion2
Denbigh4
TBD-
Flint Town-
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
St. Asaph1
Llandudno Junction0
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Cardiff Corries2
Caerau Ely3
TBD-
Afan Lido-
Llanidloes Town5
Builth4
Radnor Valley0
Gresford4
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontardawe-
Bala-
TBD-
TBD-
Llandudno FC-
NFA0
Flint Mountain3
TBD-
Holywell Town FC-
Canton3
Sully Sports1
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Penydarren2
South Gower AFC3
Rockspur4
Afan United2
Chepstow Town7
Pill0
Abercarn United4
St Albans1
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Baglan Dragons5
Cwmaman Institute1
Goytre Utd1
Trefelin3
Ammanford Town1
Taffs Well0
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
TBD-
Aber Valley2
Cwmbran Town3
Mochdre Sports0
Nantlle Vale FC2
Mold Alexandra13
Montgomery1
Pwllheli1
Felinheli2
TBD-
Newtown-
Colwyn Bay-
TBD-
Llanrwst United2
Conwy Borough1
Barry Town-
TBD-
Treharris Athletic1
Porthcawl Town2
Brickfield Rangers3
Caersws FC1
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
Penycae FC1
Rhos Aelwyd4
Aberfan2
Pontyclun FC1
TBD-
Briton Ferry-
Llanelli-
TBD-
TBD-
Llantwit Major-
Cwmbran Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Penybont-
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Mumbles Rangers1
Evans Williams2
Pontypridd United-
TBD-
Abertillery Bluebirds2
Caerphilly1
Ruthin Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TNS-
Trethomas Bluebirds4
Ely Rangers1
Llantwit Fardre3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC1
Porthmadog2
Abergavenny Town1
Cardiff Airport3
Menai Bridge Tigers0
Llanuwchllyn2
Bow Street2
Buckley3
Cefn Albion1
Bangor 18767
Denbigh0
Flint Town3
Connahs Q.4
Caernarfon1
St. Asaph0
Prestatyn1
Caerau Ely4
Afan Lido0
Llanidloes Town1
Gresford3
Aberystwyth2
Pontardawe1
Bala3
Llandudno FC0
Flint Mountain3
Holywell Town FC1
Canton2
Cambrian United1
South Gower AFC1
Rockspur0
Chepstow Town4
Abercarn United0
Haverfordwest1
Baglan Dragons0
Trefelin2
Ammanford Town3
Cardiff Metropolitan University4
Cwmbran Town0
Nantlle Vale FC2
Mold Alexandra3
Felinheli0
Newtown6
Colwyn Bay6
Llanrwst United2
Barry Town6
Porthcawl Town0
Brickfield Rangers2
Guilsfield7
Airbus UK Broughton FC4
Rhos Aelwyd0
Aberfan0
Briton Ferry3
Llanelli4
Llantwit Major0
Cwmbran Celtic0
Penybont3
Carmarthen Town2
Evans Williams0
Pontypridd United-
Abertillery Bluebirds-
Ruthin Town0
TNS5
Trethomas Bluebirds6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog5
Cardiff Airport1
Llanuwchllyn1
Buckley2
Bangor 18761
Flint Town2
Connahs Q.8
Prestatyn0
Caerau Ely4
Gresford3
Aberystwyth0
Bala1
Flint Mountain2
Canton1
South Gower AFC3
Chepstow Town2
Haverfordwest2
Ammanford Town0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Mold Alexandra1
Newtown1
Colwyn Bay2
Barry Town1
Guilsfield0
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Briton Ferry2
Llanelli4
Penybont3
Carmarthen Town4
Abertillery Bluebirds2
TNS7
Trethomas Bluebirds0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog0
Buckley2
Flint Town0
Connahs Q.3
Caerau Ely1
Bala4
Flint Mountain2
South Gower AFC1
Haverfordwest1
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
Colwyn Bay2
Barry Town0
Briton Ferry1
Llanelli0
Carmarthen Town0
TNS3
Quarter-finals
Buckley1
Connahs Q.4
Bala3
Flint Mountain0
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Colwyn Bay2
Briton Ferry1
TNS5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q.1
Bala0
Cardiff Metropolitan University2
TNS6
Final
Connahs Q.2
TNS1