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Abergavenny Town vs Aberbargoed Buds

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, Apr 18, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abergavenny Town host Aberbargoed Buds in the Division 1. This has Aberbargoed Buds written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Abergavenny Town at 1.13 goals for, 1.88 against; Aberbargoed Buds at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Abergavenny Town have won 0 to Aberbargoed Buds's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.17 - 1.44) back Aberbargoed Buds to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Abergavenny Town
6%
Draws
90%
Aberbargoed Buds
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aberbargoed Buds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Abergavenny Town at 1.13 per game, Aberbargoed Buds at 0.
  • Aberbargoed Buds are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Abergavenny Town Clean Sheet 16%
Aberbargoed Buds Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abergavenny Town Aberbargoed Buds
Matches Played 34 15
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 27 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2020 Division 1
Abergavenny Town vs Aberbargoed Buds
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Division 1
Aberbargoed Buds vs Abergavenny Town
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abergavenny Town 10 / 100
Aberbargoed Buds 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abergavenny Town Aberbargoed Buds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberbargoed Buds has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Abergavenny Town scored in 50% of their last 34 games.

Aberbargoed Buds's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Abergavenny Town VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%