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Abergavenny Town W vs Briton Ferry W

Wales Wales

Premier Women 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abergavenny Town W play Briton Ferry W in the Premier Women 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Abergavenny Town W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Briton Ferry W averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Abergavenny Town W won 3, Briton Ferry W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Abergavenny Town W and 1.74 for Briton Ferry W. This points to a Briton Ferry W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Abergavenny Town W
20%
Draws
49%
Briton Ferry W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Briton Ferry W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Abergavenny Town W picked up more points recently compared to Briton Ferry W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Abergavenny Town W Clean Sheet 12%
Briton Ferry W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abergavenny Town W Briton Ferry W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Briton Ferry W
2:0
Oct 4, 2020 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Abergavenny Town W
1:6
Apr 7, 2019 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Abergavenny Town W
2:1
Sep 9, 2018 Premier Women
Abergavenny Town W vs Briton Ferry W
3:0
Apr 2, 2017 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Abergavenny Town W
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abergavenny Town W 30 / 100
Briton Ferry W 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abergavenny Town W Briton Ferry W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Briton Ferry W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Abergavenny Town W attacking → ← attacking Briton Ferry W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abergavenny Town W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Briton Ferry W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Abergavenny Town W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Briton Ferry W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 40
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cardiff Met. Ladies W16142058:844
2Swansea W16113257:736
3Cardiff City W16102441:1832
4Port Talbot W1683539:2827
5Abergavenny Town W1682637:2426
6Llandudno FC W16421028:5414
7Cyncoed W16411118:5013
8Briton Ferry W16321116:5311
9Rhyl W1611149:614