Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Afan Lido
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth 
Match Events
60'
60'
Hall J.
AI Match Summary
Afan Lido in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afan Lido.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberystwyth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Afan Lido haven't matched Aberystwyth's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Aberystwyth taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Aberystwyth have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 12%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth
2:5
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Afan Lido
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth
0:1
Aug 5, 2016 Club Friendly
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth
0:1
Mar 28, 2014 Cymru Premier
Aberystwyth vs Afan Lido
7:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aberystwyth Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Afan Lido Compare
Top Goalscorer Hall J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberystwyth 56 / 100
Afan Lido 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberystwyth Afan Lido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Afan Lido has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Aberystwyth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aberystwyth VS Afan Lido
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home) 08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0 Aberystwyth
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
28 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Afan Lido
14 Mar
Aberystwyth
3 : 0 Trethomas Bluebirds
01 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
Afan Lido
(Away) 14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
04 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1 Afan Lido
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1 Afan Lido
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Afan Lido
23 Mar
Treowen
0 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
