Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Mena Posada H. H.
36'
Meza F.
42' Event
Vasquez A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Aguilas Doradas and Llaneros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Aguilas Doradas
30%
Draws
47%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llaneros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Llaneros carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 18%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Llaneros
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros
1:1
Feb 2, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Aguilas Doradas
0:1
Apr 7, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Llaneros
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 36 / 100
Llaneros 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llaneros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguilas Doradas scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Llaneros let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aguilas Doradas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Llaneros
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas Doradas

(Home)
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
06 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
30 Aug
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Chico
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Llaneros

(Away)
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
30 Aug
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Llaneros
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 11 7 3 1 22:6 24
2 Millonarios 11 5 4 2 15:8 19
3 Ind. Medellin 9 6 1 2 17:11 19
4 Atl. Nacional 8 6 0 2 17:8 18
5 Dep. Cali 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Bucaramanga 9 4 5 0 14:8 17
7 Deportes Tolima 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
8 Santa Fe 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
9 Llaneros 10 4 2 4 13:12 14
10 Once Caldas 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
11 Aguilas Doradas 9 2 5 2 12:13 11
12 Inter Bogotá 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
13 Cucuta 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
14 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 10 1 5 4 11:16 8
15 Dep. Pasto 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
16 Alianza 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
17 Chico 9 2 2 5 7:18 8
18 Dep. Pereira 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
20 Junior 8 1 3 4 12:14 6
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)