Sport Picks
Aberystwyth vs Cardiff Draconians
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth 
Match Events
3'
3'
Evans J.
21'
21'
Davies L.
41'
41'
Mason T.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Aberystwyth and Cardiff Draconians finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberystwyth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Cardiff Draconians's 1.8 goals per match outpaces what Aberystwyth have produced (1.32).
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 14%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aberystwyth | Cardiff Draconians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Cardiff Draconians
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aberystwyth Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mason T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Cardiff Draconians Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Treharne H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aberystwyth 31 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aberystwyth Cardiff Draconians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Aberystwyth scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Cardiff Draconians let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Aberystwyth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aberystwyth VS Cardiff Draconians
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home) 08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0 Aberystwyth
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
28 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 1 Afan Lido
14 Mar
Aberystwyth
3 : 0 Trethomas Bluebirds
01 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
Cardiff Draconians
(Away) 07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1 Afan Lido
11 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2 Pontypridd United
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4 Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Caerphilly
0 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
01 Aug
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 0 Cardiff Draconians
04 Apr
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 4 Cardiff Draconians
06 Mar
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
04 Mar
Trefelin
3 : 1 Cardiff Draconians
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)
