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Aberystwyth vs Trethomas Bluebirds

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Evans O.
33' Event
Evans O.
57' Event
Smith C.

AI Match Summary

Aberystwyth in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aberystwyth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aberystwyth
30%
Draws
27%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aberystwyth lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Aberystwyth taking it.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 19%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth Trethomas Bluebirds
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Trethomas Bluebirds
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Aberystwyth
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberystwyth Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Trethomas Bluebirds Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth 76 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth Trethomas Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trethomas Bluebirds has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aberystwyth went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aberystwyth scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth VS Trethomas Bluebirds
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aberystwyth

(Home)
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0
Pure Swansea
12 Sept
Caerphilly
2 : 3
Aberystwyth
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)