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Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Owen L.
55' Event
Olden M.
71' Event
Curnock L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier Women game between Aberystwyth W and Cardiff City W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Aberystwyth W
11%
Draws
9%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Aberystwyth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff City W come out ahead of Aberystwyth W on wins alone.
  • Aberystwyth W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Premier Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • Cardiff City W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aberystwyth W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.25 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W
0:4
Oct 5, 2025 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Aberystwyth W
6:1
Feb 26, 2025 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Aberystwyth W
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W
2:4
Mar 24, 2024 Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Cardiff City W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aberystwyth W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aberystwyth W 74 / 100
Cardiff City W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aberystwyth W Cardiff City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff City W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aberystwyth W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aberystwyth W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aberystwyth W VS Cardiff City W
1.25 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710