Sport Picks
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Geodis Park, Nashville, TN 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Fortune A. In: Reilly W.
Out: Fortune A.
62'
62'
Sub
Edwards M. In: Hernandez R.
Out: Edwards M.
63'
63'
Sub
Tagseth E. In: Acosta B.
Out: Tagseth E.
AI Match Summary
Nashville SC in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nashville SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nashville SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atlanta United haven't matched Nashville SC's recent run of results.
- Nashville SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 20%
Atlanta United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nashville SC | Atlanta United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs Atlanta United
0:1
May 3, 2025 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
Atlanta United vs Nashville SC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nashville SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mohammed S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Atlanta United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nashville SC 85 / 100
Atlanta United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nashville SC Atlanta United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atlanta United has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Nashville SC scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Nashville SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nashville SC VS Atlanta United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nashville SC
(Home) 11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4 Nashville SC
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1 Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0 Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
30 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 0 FC Cincinnati
23 Aug
Nashville SC
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
16 Aug
Nashville SC
4 : 1 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 3
Atlanta United
(Away) 10 Oct
Atlanta United
1 : 3 FC Cincinnati
26 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 2 New York City
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3 Orlando City
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0 Atlanta United
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2 Atlanta United
20 Aug
Minnesota United
1 : 2 Atlanta United
01 Aug
Philadelphia Union
3 : 2 Atlanta United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 61:30 | 51 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 52:45 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 42 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:35 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 39:39 | 37 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:46 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:51 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 42:51 | 30 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 35:68 | 22 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 68:50 | 49 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:39 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 56:45 | 42 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 51:66 | 37 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:52 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 58:65 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 41:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:48 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
