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Abha vs Al-Faisaly Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:25 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abha host Al-Faisaly in the Saudi Professional League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Abha at 1.3 goals for, 1.33 against; Al-Faisaly at 2.17 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Abha have won 1 to Al-Faisaly's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al-Faisaly. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Abha
35%
Draws
39%
Al-Faisaly
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Faisaly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Faisaly lately — more wins on the board than Abha.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Abha taking it.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Abha Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Faisaly Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al-Faisaly
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.3 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Abha
3:0
Sep 11, 2025 Division 1
Abha vs Al-Faisaly
2:2
Feb 18, 2025 Division 1
Al-Faisaly vs Abha
2:2
Oct 1, 2024 Division 1
Abha vs Al-Faisaly
3:1
May 6, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al-Faisaly
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 36 / 100
Al-Faisaly 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al-Faisaly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abha scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al-Faisaly conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Abha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al-Faisaly
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

Al-Faisaly

(Away)
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al-Faisaly
05 Sept
Al-Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al-Faisaly
26 Aug
Al-Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)