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Abha vs Al Shabab - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
03:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abha host Al Shabab in the Saudi Professional League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Abha have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Al Shabab's 1.8 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Shabab slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2025, ending 2:3. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.38) point toward Al Shabab. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Abha
35%
Draws
55%
Al Shabab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abha come out ahead of Al Shabab on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Shabab a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Shabab have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Abha Clean Sheet 17%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abha Al Shabab
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 King Cup
Abha vs Al Shabab
2:3
Apr 18, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Abha
5:0
Oct 28, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Shabab
2:1
Feb 14, 2023 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Abha
2:0
Sep 1, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Abha vs Al Shabab
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abha 10 / 100
Al Shabab 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abha Al Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Abha scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Abha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Abha VS Al Shabab
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Abha

(Home)
30 Oct
Abha
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
27 Oct
Abha
0 : 1
Al Faisaly
24 Oct
Neom SC
2 : 0
Abha
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
Page 1 of 7

Al Shabab

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Shabab
6 : 1
Al Ahli SC
22 Oct
Al Fateh
1 : 3
Al Shabab
19 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 2
Al Faisaly
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 12 9 1 2 32:12 28
2 Al Nassr 11 9 1 1 28:11 28
3 Al Hilal 10 9 0 1 30:9 27
4 Al Ittihad 11 7 3 1 21:11 24
5 Neom SC 12 7 1 4 18:10 22
6 Al Ahli SC 11 7 0 4 28:19 21
7 Al Ettifaq FC 11 5 3 3 17:16 18
8 Al Diriyah 12 4 3 5 10:13 15
9 Al Khaleej 12 3 6 3 14:19 15
10 Al Shabab 11 3 5 3 20:15 14
11 Al Kholood 11 3 3 5 17:26 12
12 Al Riyadh 11 3 3 5 11:25 12
13 Al Hazem Rass 12 2 4 6 14:20 10
14 Al Faisaly 11 2 4 5 12:20 10
15 Al Fayha 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
16 Al Fateh 11 1 3 7 10:23 6
17 Al Taawon 11 0 4 7 5:19 4
18 Abha 11 0 3 8 7:19 3
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)