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Abi Al Ashar vs Al-Ittihad

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Abi Al Ashar and Al-Ittihad finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Abi Al Ashar
20%
Draws
80%
Al-Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ittihad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Al-Ittihad taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Al-Ittihad have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Abi Al Ashar Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abi Al Ashar Al-Ittihad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Al-Ittihad
0:2
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ittihad vs Abi Al Ashar
2:1
Jul 28, 2016 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Al-Ittihad
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abi Al Ashar 10 / 100
Al-Ittihad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abi Al Ashar Al-Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ittihad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Ittihad conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Abi Al Ashar's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Ittihad's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Abi Al Ashar VS Al-Ittihad
0.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Abi Al Ashar

(Home)
25 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 8
Al Shomooa
15 Apr
Al-Majd
1 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
17 Mar
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
12 Mar
Abi Al Ashar
1 : 2
Al Tirsana
Page 1 of 6

Al-Ittihad

(Away)
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
1 : 2
Al-Ittihad
20 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad
14 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Asswehly
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)