Sport Picks
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 
Match Events
11'
11'
Williams R.
Assist: McCartney D.
16'
16'
Bailey Z.
Assist: Reid-Stephen N.
19'
19'
Reid-Stephen N.
Assist: Gloster C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- New Mexico have won more games recently than Birmingham Legion.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Birmingham Legion taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birmingham Legion | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico
4:4
Jul 21, 2024 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Birmingham Legion
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico
1:0
Jun 26, 2022 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Birmingham Legion
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Damus R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
New Mexico Compare
Top Goalscorer Bailey Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reid-Stephen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birmingham Legion 40 / 100
New Mexico 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birmingham Legion New Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birmingham Legion scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
New Mexico has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Birmingham Legion stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Birmingham Legion VS New Mexico
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Birmingham Legion
(Home) 03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
Page 1 of 3
New Mexico
(Away) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
27 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 3 Sacramento Republic
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 New Mexico
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
22 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 0 New Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
