Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Abtswind vs Karlburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Bauer A.
51' Event
Gutheil F.
83' Event
Schmitt F.

AI Match Summary

Abtswind in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Abtswind.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Abtswind
15%
Draws
21%
Karlburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Abtswind

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Abtswind have won more games recently than Karlburg.
  • Abtswind are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Abtswind Clean Sheet 20%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abtswind Karlburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Abtswind vs Karlburg
4:1
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Abtswind
1:2
Nov 13, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs Abtswind
0:2
Jul 31, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Abtswind vs Karlburg
0:0
Oct 31, 2020 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Abtswind vs Karlburg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Abtswind Compare

Top Goalscorer Bauer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schmitt F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Karlburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutheil F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abtswind 85 / 100
Karlburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abtswind Karlburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Abtswind Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlburg has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Abtswind scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Karlburg registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Abtswind VS Karlburg
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Abtswind

(Home)
28 Jun
Abtswind
3 : 2
1. FC Schweinfurt
23 Jan
Abtswind
2 : 7
Wurzburger Kickers
24 May
Abtswind
0 : 1
Frammersbach
21 May
Frammersbach
2 : 1
Abtswind
17 May
Abtswind
1 : 4
Vfb Eichstatt
Page 1 of 6

Karlburg

(Away)
17 May
Karlburg
0 : 4
Weiden
09 May
TSV Kornburg
6 : 1
Karlburg
02 May
Abtswind
4 : 1
Karlburg
25 Apr
Karlburg
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Apr
Cham
2 : 0
Karlburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)