Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Criciuma vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Heriberto Hülse, Criciúma
Mon, Sep 21, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Criciuma host Operario-PR in the Serie B. Operario-PR go into this one as the clear favorite. Criciuma have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Operario-PR's 1.35 scored and 1.32 conceded. Head-to-head, Criciuma have won 1 to Operario-PR's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Operario-PR. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Criciuma
30%
Draws
52%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Criciuma lately — more wins on the board than Operario-PR.
  • Model gives Operario-PR a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 23%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Criciuma Operario-PR
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Criciuma
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Criciuma
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Operario-PR
1:2
Aug 17, 2022 Serie B
Criciuma vs Operario-PR
2:0
May 7, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Criciuma
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Criciuma 10 / 100
Operario-PR 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Criciuma Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Criciuma's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Operario-PR has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Criciuma remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Criciuma VS Operario-PR
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Criciuma

(Home)
13 Sept
Atletico GO
4 : 0
Criciuma
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
30 Aug
CRB
2 : 1
Criciuma
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)