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Abu Qir Semad vs Ghazl El Mahallah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Abu Qir Semad host Ghazl El Mahallah in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ghazl El Mahallah have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Abu Qir Semad have conceded 1 and scored 0.83. Past meetings favor Ghazl El Mahallah slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 8, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.19, favoring Abu Qir Semad. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Abu Qir Semad
30%
Draws
47%
Ghazl El Mahallah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ghazl El Mahallah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abu Qir Semad come out ahead of Ghazl El Mahallah on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 20%
Ghazl El Mahallah Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Abu Qir Semad Ghazl El Mahallah
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 League Cup
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abu Qir Semad
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Division 2 A
Ghazl El Mahallah vs Abu Qir Semad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Abu Qir Semad 36 / 100
Ghazl El Mahallah 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Abu Qir Semad Ghazl El Mahallah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghazl El Mahallah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abu Qir Semad scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ghazl El Mahallah conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ghazl El Mahallah has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Abu Qir Semad VS Ghazl El Mahallah
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Abu Qir Semad

(Home)
13 Oct
Abu Qir Semad
1 : 2
Asyut Petroleum
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Ghazl El Mahallah

(Away)
12 Oct
Smouha
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
07 Sept
National Bank Egypt
3 : 1
Ghazl El Mahallah
01 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 0
Enppi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 6 0 0 13:2 18
2 Al Ahly 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
4 Modern Sport 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
5 Al Ittihad Alexandria 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
6 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
7 National Bank Egypt 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
8 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
9 Petrojet 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
10 ZED FC 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
11 Al Qanah 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
12 Al Masry 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Smouha 6 2 1 3 2:4 7
14 El Gaish 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
15 Wadi Degla 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
16 Asyut Petroleum 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
17 Enppi 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
18 Abu Qir Semad 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
19 El Gouna 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
20 Ghazl El Mahallah 6 0 1 5 1:10 1
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
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