Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Ajaccio vs Amiens SC

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Michel Moretti Stadium, Ajaccio
Fri, Mar 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Ajaccio host Amiens SC in the Ligue 2 2025/2026. This has Amiens SC written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: AC Ajaccio at 1.8 goals for, 1.1 against; Amiens SC at 1.19 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor AC Ajaccio slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Amiens SC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AC Ajaccio
25%
Draws
35%
Amiens SC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AC Ajaccio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AC Ajaccio haven't matched Amiens SC's recent run of results.
  • Amiens SC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 20%
Amiens SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Ajaccio Amiens SC
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Amiens SC
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Amiens SC
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 2
Amiens SC vs AC Ajaccio
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Amiens SC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Ajaccio 16 / 100
Amiens SC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Ajaccio Amiens SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amiens SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amiens SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

AC Ajaccio VS Amiens SC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Ajaccio

(Home)

Amiens SC

(Away)
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
10 Sept
Cannes
0 : 0
Amiens SC
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
29 Aug
Amiens SC
3 : 0
Versailles
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)