Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Michel Moretti Stadium, Ajaccio
Fri, Jan 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AC Ajaccio host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 2025/2026. This has Montpellier written all over it on paper. Montpellier have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while AC Ajaccio have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Montpellier slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Montpellier. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AC Ajaccio
25%
Draws
35%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AC Ajaccio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montpellier lately — more wins on the board than AC Ajaccio.
  • Win probability leans Montpellier's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 20%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Ajaccio Montpellier
Matches Played 10 27
Wins 5 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 2
AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio
0:0
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier
0:1
Aug 31, 2022 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs AC Ajaccio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Ajaccio 28 / 100
Montpellier 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Ajaccio Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MNT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montpellier's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Montpellier has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Ajaccio VS Montpellier
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Ajaccio

(Home)

Montpellier

(Away)
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)