Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Belluno vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Paladin A.
16' Event
Masoch Y.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between AC Belluno and Montebelluna finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AC Belluno
30%
Draws
31%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Belluno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montebelluna come out ahead of AC Belluno on wins alone.
  • Montebelluna are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AC Belluno Clean Sheet 25%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Belluno Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 14 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Montebelluna
1:1
Nov 22, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs AC Belluno
1:4
Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs AC Belluno
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Montebelluna
0:1
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs AC Belluno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Belluno Compare

Top Goalscorer Masoch Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Paladin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Belluno 13 / 100
Montebelluna 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Belluno Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montebelluna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Belluno scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Montebelluna let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AC Belluno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montebelluna
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Belluno

(Home)
20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0
AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2
AC Belluno
06 Jun
AC Belluno
0 : 3
Delta Porto Tolle
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1
AC Belluno
23 May
AC Belluno
1 : 0
Chions
Page 1 of 6

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)