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AC Chieri vs Asti Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Favale D.
55' Event
Stojkovic D.
77' Event
Petracca A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between AC Chieri and Asti Calcio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AC Chieri
20%
Draws
40%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AC Chieri haven't matched Asti Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 68%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Asti Calcio
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Asti Calcio
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs AC Chieri
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs AC Chieri
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Asti Calcio
1:0
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Asti Calcio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojkovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petracca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Favale D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 41 / 100
Asti Calcio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AC Chieri scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Asti Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: AC Chieri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Asti Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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Asti Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)