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Stadium Background

AC Chieri vs Borgaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Edera S.
40' Event
Ferrara V.
58' Event
Albisetti F.

AI Match Summary

AC Chieri in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AC Chieri
15%
Draws
39%
Borgaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AC Chieri at 0.86 per game, Borgaro at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans AC Chieri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 68%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Borgaro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Borgaro
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs AC Chieri
2:1
Jan 27, 2019 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Borgaro
0:1
Oct 7, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs AC Chieri
1:3
Jan 13, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs AC Chieri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Edera S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrara V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Albisetti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 95 / 100
Borgaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Borgaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

AC Chieri's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AC Chieri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Chieri VS Borgaro
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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Borgaro

(Away)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)