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AC Chieri vs Novese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between AC Chieri and Novese finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
AC Chieri
15%
Draws
0%
Novese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Chieri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AC Chieri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors AC Chieri here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 15%
Novese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Novese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 26
Goals Scored 1 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2016 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Novese
5:0
Sep 12, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs AC Chieri
1:2
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Novese
2:0
Dec 14, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs AC Chieri
1:2
Mar 30, 2014 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Novese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 84 / 100
Novese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Novese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Novese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

AC Chieri's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

AC Chieri VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Novese

(Away)
08 May
Bra
6 : 0
Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5
Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0
Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7
Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)