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AC Chieri vs Pinerolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Balan G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between AC Chieri and Pinerolo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AC Chieri
35%
Draws
24%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • AC Chieri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on AC Chieri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 68%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Chieri Pinerolo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.84 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Pinerolo
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Pinerolo
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs AC Chieri
3:2
Apr 7, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Pinerolo
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs AC Chieri
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Balan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Pinerolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Chieri 68 / 100
Pinerolo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Chieri Pinerolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AC Chieri scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Pinerolo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

AC Chieri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Chieri VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Chieri

(Home)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 7

Pinerolo

(Away)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)