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AC Guaratingueta U20 vs Capivariano U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alvarez Stepancich G. N.
36' Event
Carlos Henrique
45' Event
Carlos Henrique

AI Match Summary

Capivariano U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AC Guaratingueta U20
15%
Draws
85%
Capivariano U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capivariano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Capivariano U20 have won more games recently than AC Guaratingueta U20.
  • Model gives Capivariano U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AC Guaratingueta U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Guaratingueta U20 Capivariano U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 13
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Paulista U20
AC Guaratingueta U20 vs Capivariano U20
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Guaratingueta U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Ribeiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Capivariano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez Stepancich G. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Guaratingueta U20 10 / 100
Capivariano U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Guaratingueta U20 Capivariano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capivariano U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Capivariano U20 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

AC Guaratingueta U20 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Capivariano U20's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Guaratingueta U20 VS Capivariano U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Guaratingueta U20

(Home)
10 Jan
AC Guaratingueta U20
0 : 5
EC Juventude U20
07 Jan
AC Guaratingueta U20
1 : 2
Sao Jose EC U20
04 Jan
AC Guaratingueta U20
0 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20
12 Aug
Sao Paulo U20
7 : 0
AC Guaratingueta U20
06 Aug
AC Guaratingueta U20
1 : 5
Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 6

Capivariano U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Agua Santa U20
0 : 2
Capivariano U20
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Tanabi U20
04 Sept
Maua FC U20
0 : 1
Capivariano U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
4 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
6 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
7 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
8 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
9 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
10 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
11 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
12 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
13 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
14 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
15 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
16 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
17 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
18 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
19 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
20 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
21 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
22 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
23 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
24 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
25 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
26 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
27 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
28 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
29 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
30 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
31 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
32 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
33 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
34 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
35 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
36 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
37 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
38 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
39 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
40 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
41 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
42 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
43 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
44 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
45 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
46 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
47 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
48 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
2 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
3 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
4 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
5 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
6 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
7 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
8 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
9 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
10 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
11 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
12 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
13 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
14 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
15 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
16 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
4 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
5 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
6 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
7 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
8 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
9 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
10 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
11 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
12 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
13 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
14 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
15 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
16 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
2 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
3 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
4 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
5 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
6 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
7 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
8 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
9 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
10 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
11 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
12 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
13 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
14 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
15 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
16 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)