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AC Kajaani vs MuSa

Finland Finland

Ykkonen 2020 Kajaanin Liikuntapuisto, Kajaani
AC Kajaani Logo

AC Kajaani

3 - 1
FT
MuSa Logo

MuSa

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Montola J.
23'
Acheampong G.
24'
Mohamed H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AC Kajaani in this Ykkonen 2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Kajaani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AC Kajaani
30%
Draws
37%
MuSa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MuSa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • MuSa have won more games recently than AC Kajaani.
  • AC Kajaani are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AC Kajaani Clean Sheet 19%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Kajaani MuSa
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.46 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2020 Ykkosliiga
AC Kajaani vs MuSa
3:1
Jul 4, 2020 Ykkosliiga
MuSa vs AC Kajaani
0:2
Aug 16, 2019 Ykkosliiga
MuSa vs AC Kajaani
5:3
Jun 19, 2019 Ykkosliiga
AC Kajaani vs MuSa
1:3
Apr 27, 2019 Ykkosliiga
AC Kajaani vs MuSa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Kajaani Compare

Top Goalscorer Acheampong G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appiah E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

MuSa Compare

Top Goalscorer Montola J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Kajaani 58 / 100
MuSa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Kajaani MuSa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Kajaani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MuSa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

AC Kajaani's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: AC Kajaani stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS MuSa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Kajaani

(Home)
31 Oct
KTP
1 : 4
AC Kajaani
24 Oct
AC Kajaani
0 : 1
SJK Akatemia
21 Oct
AC Kajaani
10 : 2
MyPa
17 Oct
Jaro
1 : 1
AC Kajaani
10 Oct
KPV Kokkola
8 : 2
AC Kajaani
Page 1 of 6

MuSa

(Away)
26 Sept
MuSa
3 : 2
NJS
18 Sept
GrIFK
1 : 1
MuSa
12 Sept
MuSa
1 : 1
EBK
04 Sept
NJS
4 : 0
MuSa
22 Aug
NJS
1 : 2
MuSa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Oulu 22 15 5 2 38:16 50
2 KTP 22 14 5 3 51:23 47
3 Jaro 22 12 5 5 50:31 41
4 Ekenas IF 22 10 6 6 45:25 36
5 MuSa 22 10 4 8 38:38 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 37:36 33
7 Mikkelin 22 8 5 9 29:35 29
8 KPV Kokkola 22 8 4 10 38:34 28
9 Gnistan 22 7 4 11 38:49 25
10 AC Kajaani 22 5 8 9 35:37 23
11 SJK Akatemia 22 4 3 15 22:49 15
12 MyPa 22 1 3 18 21:69 6
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2021 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2020 (Relegation)