Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
30%
56%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USD Casatese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than AC Leon.
- USD Casatese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 19%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Leon | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs AC Leon
4:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs AC Leon
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs USD Casatese
0:0
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs USD Casatese
2:4
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs AC Leon
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Leon 10 / 100
USD Casatese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Leon USD Casatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AC Leon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: AC Leon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
USD Casatese let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
AC Leon VS USD Casatese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Leon
(Home) 13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2 Chievo
02 Apr
AC Leon
3 : 1 Pavia
22 Mar
AC Leon
3 : 2 Vogherese
01 Mar
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
15 Feb
AC Leon
4 : 1 Sondrio
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USD Casatese
(Away) 17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
19 Apr
USD Casatese
1 : 0 Pavia
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26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
15 Mar
Sondrio
2 : 1 USD Casatese
22 Feb
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 USD Casatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
