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AC Libertas vs Folgore Prediction & H2H Stats

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
AC Libertas Logo

AC Libertas

0 - 2
FT
Folgore Logo

Folgore

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Toure Y.
52' Event
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Fabbri D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AC Libertas
20%
Draws
60%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore lately — more wins on the board than AC Libertas.
  • Folgore are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Folgore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Folgore, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Folgore have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Libertas Folgore
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Folgore
0:2
Mar 1, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Folgore
2:4
Nov 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs AC Libertas
6:1
Apr 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs AC Libertas
3:0
Dec 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Folgore
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Libertas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Folgore Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Rufer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Libertas 10 / 100
Folgore 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Libertas Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

AC Libertas scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Folgore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: AC Libertas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AC Libertas VS Folgore
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Libertas

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
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Folgore

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -