Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Libertas vs Juvenes/Dogana

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Osayande O.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Sartini S.
Assist: Dormi L.
83' Event
Osayande O.
Assist: Melandri D.

AI Match Summary

AC Libertas in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Libertas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AC Libertas
20%
Draws
30%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Libertas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • AC Libertas have won more games recently than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Juvenes/Dogana taking it.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 12%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Libertas Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Apr 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs AC Libertas
1:1
Apr 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs AC Libertas
0:1
Jan 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Libertas Compare

Top Goalscorer Osayande O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Libertas 14 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Libertas Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juvenes/Dogana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Libertas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Juvenes/Dogana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: AC Libertas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Libertas VS Juvenes/Dogana
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Libertas

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)