Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AC Libertas vs SC Faetano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Quarta A.
Assist: Guidotti R.
79' Event
Alabay A.
Assist: Abbadessa C.
90' Event
Guidotti R.
Assist: Tomassini F. R.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between AC Libertas and SC Faetano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Libertas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AC Libertas
35%
Draws
19%
SC Faetano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AC Libertas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Libertas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AC Libertas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 68%
SC Faetano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Libertas SC Faetano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs SC Faetano
1:1
Feb 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs SC Faetano
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs AC Libertas
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs SC Faetano
2:4
Nov 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SC Faetano vs AC Libertas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Libertas Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guidotti R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

SC Faetano Compare

Top Goalscorer Alabay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Libertas 95 / 100
SC Faetano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Libertas SC Faetano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Libertas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Faetano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

AC Libertas scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: AC Libertas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AC Libertas VS SC Faetano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Libertas

(Home)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
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SC Faetano

(Away)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)