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AC Milan U19 vs Chelsea U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara, Milan
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Lazetic M. In: Traore C.
Out: Lazetic M.
40'
Sub
Tauriainen J. In: Thomas S.
Out: Tauriainen J.
53'
Akomeah T.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 game between AC Milan U19 and Chelsea U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Milan U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AC Milan U19
20%
Draws
57%
Chelsea U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea U19 come out ahead of AC Milan U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chelsea U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan U19 Chelsea U19
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.44 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2022 UEFA Youth League
AC Milan U19 vs Chelsea U19
3:1
Oct 5, 2022 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs AC Milan U19
1:1
Feb 25, 2014 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs AC Milan U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alesi G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Longhi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chelsea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan U19 10 / 100
Chelsea U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan U19 Chelsea U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan U19 scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Chelsea U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

AC Milan U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan U19 VS Chelsea U19
1.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan U19

(Home)
11 Dec
AC Milan U19
1 : 3
Crvena zvezda U19
26 Nov
Slovan Bratislava U19
2 : 3
AC Milan U19
05 Nov
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
AC Milan U19
22 Oct
AC Milan U19
1 : 1
Club Brugge U19
01 Oct
Leverkusen U19
3 : 1
AC Milan U19
Page 1 of 7

Chelsea U19

(Away)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U19 6 5 0 1 20:8 15
2 Ajax U19 6 4 1 1 17:10 13
3 Rangers U19 6 2 0 4 13:20 6
4 Napoli U19 6 0 1 5 7:19 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid U19 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
2 FC Porto U19 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Club Brugge U19 6 3 0 3 10:9 9
4 Leverkusen U19 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 4 2 0 18:7 14
2 Inter U19 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
3 Bayern U19 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
4 Plzen U19 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 4 2 0 13:3 14
2 Eintracht Frankfurt U19 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Tottenham U19 6 2 0 4 9:10 6
4 Marseille U19 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AC Milan U19 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Salzburg U19 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
3 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 0 4 7:14 6
4 Chelsea U19 6 1 2 3 10:14 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 5 1 0 23:5 16
2 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 6:10 10
3 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Celtic U19 6 1 0 5 4:16 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U19 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
2 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
3 FC Copenhagen U19 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
4 Sevilla U19 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG U19 6 4 1 1 20:11 13
2 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 17:14 11
3 Benfica U19 6 2 1 3 12:10 7
4 Maccabi Haifa U19 6 1 0 5 6:20 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 (Play Offs)