Sport Picks
AC Milan U23 vs Caldiero Terme Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B Stadio Felice Chinetti, Solbiate Arno 
Match Events
45'
45'
Petdji T.
53'
53'
Ossola L.
55'
55'
Borsani E.
AI Match Summary
AC Milan U23 in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Milan U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- AC Milan U23 have won more games recently than Caldiero Terme.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
AC Milan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AC Milan U23 | Caldiero Terme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Caldiero Terme
4:3
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs AC Milan U23
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Milan U23 vs Caldiero Terme
0:2
Dec 18, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
AC Milan U23 vs Caldiero Terme
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AC Milan U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ossola L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Borsani E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Caldiero Terme Compare
Top Goalscorer Petdji T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Castelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AC Milan U23 41 / 100
Caldiero Terme 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AC Milan U23 Caldiero Terme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AC Milan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AC Milan U23 scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Caldiero Terme conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
AC Milan U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AC Milan U23 VS Caldiero Terme
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AC Milan U23
(Home) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 0 AC Milan U23
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
02 Sept
Everton U21
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
03 May
AC Milan U23
10 : 1 Vogherese
19 Apr
AC Milan U23
0 : 1 Varesina
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
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Caldiero Terme
(Away) 27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
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27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
AC Milan U23
4 : 3 Caldiero Terme
26 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 6 Caldiero Terme
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 15 |
| 3 | AC Milan U23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Brusaporto | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Piacenza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Pro Palazzolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 9 | AC Leon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | 3 |
| 17 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
| 18 | Fiorenzuola | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)
