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AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Schingtienne J.
45'
Sub
Franjic B. In: Halhal R.
Out: Franjic B.
48'
Perez K.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
AC Milan
20%
Draws
0%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AC Milan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Venezia lately — more wins on the board than AC Milan.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on AC Milan taking it.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AC Milan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 68%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AC Milan Venezia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.37 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Serie A
AC Milan vs Venezia
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs AC Milan
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Serie A
AC Milan vs Venezia
4:0
Jan 9, 2022 Serie A
Venezia vs AC Milan
0:3
Sep 22, 2021 Serie A
AC Milan vs Venezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AC Milan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Venezia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AC Milan 95 / 100
Venezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AC Milan Venezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

AC Milan scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Venezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AC Milan VS Venezia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AC Milan

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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Venezia

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)